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Athlete Biological Passport Standard Deviation ?

When I drill down in to data it’s no surprise when I catch small errors and discrepancies pop. But the thing that jumped out when drilling down into the Cobo ABP data http://veloclinic.com/cobo-athlete-biological-passport-visualization-and-discussion/ was that the Z-score model was apparently producing far wider cut offs than the actual ABP. Jeroen Swart pointed this out to …

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GoldenR Cheetah Script For Interval Discovery

The Golden Cheetah crew has now integrated R into Golden Cheetah in the latest development build. This update instantly gave Golden Cheetah statistical and modelling super-powers to the point where I gave it the nickname GoldenR Cheetah. As an example, this script uses the change point package to auto discover intervals within a power file. …

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Estimating the Probability of Doping as a Function of Power

A repeating theme heard in performance analysis discussions is that “Performance doesn’t prove doping.” Of course this is true because proof, as an absolute, doesn’t really exist. Instead, most real-world evidence driven judgments are based on probability and not “proof.” From this perspective, this post will illustrate the concept of using a mathematical model to …

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Athlete Biological Passport For Level Change Detection

One of the weaknesses of the current Athlete Biological Passport software seems to be an over-emphasis on outlier detection versus level change detection. To illustrate this point consider the Lance Armstrong case:   According to the UCI, Armstrongs blood data never triggered a flag on the software. The software screen was non-positive despite the obvious …